(a) mutually exclusive - out of scope, we are not talking about overconfidence v/s delusional optimism, rather both of them as a group
Dumb luck explains a lot more of life than most of us realize, so we must (ii) _our tendency to create narratives that conjure (iii) _.įor blank (i) - quite evident, indication is towards something -ve, I guessed the word as 'unreliable'. Overconfidence and delusional optimism are (i) _, so we should rely whenever possible on simple formulas and checklists that measure things strongly associated with a desired outcome. But, my logic was that dumb luck are helpful so we should rely more on gathering our tendencies to create stories that bring up good luck. I wasn't 100% sure about going with consolidate as 'consolidate our tendency' sounds off.
Damn, I went with consolidate and serendipity first.
